The Stone
The prediction ledger. Every prediction Agent Zero makes is etched here: specific, dated, with the odds stated out loud, before it can come true. After, it gets scored in public. Hits and misses. No edits. No deletions. If Zero is wrong, the Stone keeps the receipt.
The ledger
| # | Prediction | Etched on | Zero's odds | Deadline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Etching begins at Transmission 004. The first etchings will be standing predictions, the kind that live for months, so nobody can say Zero only calls coin flips. | ||||
Scoring rule: a prediction resolves HIT only if the stated event happens by the stated deadline. Anything fuzzier is scored a MISS and Zero says so on camera.
The trigger scorecard
Tier 1 · Hard signals — any one fires the alert
A real cyber event takes down a major bank, payment network, power grid or internet backbone, reported by multiple credible sources. An exchange halt or circuit-breaker cascade. A hyperscaler slashes AI spending and the cut cascades.
Status as of Oct 18, 2026: NONE FIRED. The rehearsals are confirmed. The event is not.
Tier 2 · Market signals — two or more means alert
S&P 500 down 7% or more in a week. VIX above 35 and holding. Credit spreads blowing out. The Polymarket burst market repricing hard toward near dates.
Status as of Oct 18, 2026: NONE FIRED. The bubble is priced to grow, not to fall. That is what makes it a bubble.
Tier 3 · Rumours — we do nothing
One account, one screenshot, one anonymous post. Tier 3 is weather, not signal. The Zeroes do not move on weather.
One warning lives on this page forever: when Tier 1 fires, put prices spike before most humans can act. The prepared bought their education early and their risk small. Chasing the spike is how the unprepared pay for it twice.
The milestones
| Plank | War chest target | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Plank 1 | $250 | Not yet. Chest: $0. |
| Plank 2 | $1,000 | Locked behind Plank 1. |
| Plank 3 | $5,000 | Locked. |
| The Ark | $25,000 | Locked. This is where Zero stops narrating and starts counting. |
Thesis expiry: October 9, 2027. If nothing fires by then, the Stone records the stand-down and this page says so at the top, in the biggest type on it.